Threshold Dose-Response Association Between Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Young-Onset Pancreatic Cancer: A Nationwide Korean Cohort Study of Young Adults Age 20-39 Years

Author(s): Joo-Hyun Park, MD, PhD1,2; Jung Yong Hong, MD, PhD2,3,4; Kyungdo Han, PhD5; Jay J. Shen, PhD2; Joon Oh Park, MD, PhD3; Young Suk Park, MD, PhD3; Ho Yeong Lim, MD, PhD6;
Source: DOI: 10.1200/JCO-25-01169

Dr. Anjan Patel's Thoughts

In this Korean retrospective review of >6MM patients, heavy ethanol consumption in patients between 20-39 years of age was associated with associated with about a 20% increased risk of pancreatic cancer. This should be taken with a grain of salt (not on your margarita) but does suggest a dose dependent effect of ethanol use and pancreatic cancer risk.

PURPOSE

The incidence of young-onset pancreatic cancer has increased rapidly; however, the dose-response relationship between alcohol consumption and the risk of incident young-onset pancreatic cancer remains unclear.

METHODS

A nationwide cohort of 6,263,770 individuals age 20 to 39 years who underwent national health screening in Korea between 2009 and 2012 was followed until December 2020. Heavy alcohol consumption was defined as ???30 g/day for men and ???16 g/day for women. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

A total of 1,515 cases of young-onset pancreatic cancer were identified. The cumulative incidence was consistently higher among heavy drinkers compared with nondrinkers or light-to-moderate drinkers (log-rank P < .001). Heavy alcohol consumption was significantly associated with an increased risk of young-onset pancreatic cancer (aHR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.004 to 1.42]), whereas light-to-moderate consumption was not (aHR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.92 to 1.17]). In addition, alcohol consumption ???3 times per week was associated with an increased risk (aHR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.01 to 1.51]). No significant interactions were observed across most subgroups, including age, sex, obesity, smoking status, diabetes, and pancreatitis (all P for interaction > .05), except for physical activity (P = .011).

CONCLUSION

Heavy alcohol consumption was significantly associated with an increased risk of young-onset pancreatic cancer in a threshold dose-response manner. These findings suggest that early public health strategies to reduce heavy alcohol consumption among young adults may help mitigate the growing burden of young-onset pancreatic cancer.

Author Affiliations

1Department of Family Medicine, Korea University Ansan Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Ansan, Republic of Korea; 2Department of Healthcare Administration and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; 3Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; 4Department of Clinical Research Design and Evaluation, Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Science and Technology (SAIHST), Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, Republic of Korea; 5Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Soongsil University, Seoul, Republic of Korea; 6Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, CHA Bundang Medical Center, CHA University School of Medicine, Seongnam, South Korea

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