Tumor regression grade defined as the ratio between fibrosis and residual tumor, is routinely used to assess response to therapy and demonstrated to be an important predictor of patient’s outcome. In the era of TNT (total Neoadjuvant Therapy) this will help assess response to avoid surgery. It will be nice to add MRD testing in the blood as another tool.
Total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) is a newly established standard treatment for rectal adenocarcinoma. Current methods to communicate magnitudes of regression during TNT are subjective and imprecise. Magnetic resonance tumor regression grade (MR-TRG) is an existing, but rarely used, regression grading system. Prospective validation of MR-TRG correlation with pathologic response in patients undergoing TNT is lacking. Utility of adding diffusion-weighted imaging to MR-TRG is also unknown.
We conducted a multi-institutional prospective imaging substudy within NRG-GI002 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02921256) examining the ability of MR-based imaging to predict pathologic complete response (pCR) and correlate MR-TRG with the pathologic neoadjuvant response score (NAR). Serial MRIs were needed from 110 patients. Three radiologists independently, then collectively, reviewed each MRI for complete response (mriCR), which was tested for positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity, and specificity with pCR. MR-TRG was examined for association with the pathologic NAR score. All team members were blinded to pathologic data.
A total of 121 patients from 71 institutions met criteria: 28% were female (n = 34), 84% White (n = 101), and median age was 55 (24-78 years). Kappa scores for T- and N-stage after TNT were 0.38 and 0.88, reflecting fair agreement and near-perfect agreement, respectively. Calling an mriCR resulted in a kappa score of 0.82 after chemotherapy and 0.56 after TNT reflected near-perfect agreement and moderate agreement, respectively. MR-TRG scores were associated with pCR (P < .01) and NAR (P < .0001), PPV for pCR was 40% (95% CI, 26 to 53), and NPV was 84% (95% CI, 75 to 94).
MRI alone is a poor tool to distinguish pCR in rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing TNT. However, the MR-TRG score presents a now validated method, correlated with pathologic NAR, which can objectively measure regression magnitude during TNT.
FOLFOX is the way to go … as no significant difference was observed in the long-term survival outcome between mFOLFOX6 with and without radiation and fluorouracil plus radiation.
There is hope for organ preservation in rectal preservation. I believe the good news is that waiting is not as harmful. Those who underwent surgery after regrowth almost had the same disease-free survival (DFS) as those who had surgery after treatment because of incomplete response. The use of CtDNA (not analyzed in the trial) may play an even a bigger role where you may not have to wait for clinical regrowth to have the surgery, but of course more trials are needed to see if this will have clinical benefit. (Is the positive or rising CtDNA enough reason to have surgery vs imaging recurrence?)
Still, this is an exciting new era that will see change in treating early-stage colorectal cancer, recall the immunotherapy results in patients who were MMR deficient.
Paradigm shift in rectal cancer therapy? Some may not need surgery, now some may not need radiotherapy.
Nice study showing a non-radiation approach to node-negative, earlier stage, low-lying rectal cancer, using FOLFOX/CAPEOX x 3 months followed by local excision for those with downstaging to T0/T1 disease. 79% of patients achieved organ preservation, and 2-year locoregional RFS was 90%. A good option for those who are not good candidates for radiation yet still want to avoid an APR-type surgery.
Very impressive results that may change treatment-paradigm. However, number of patients treated, and duration of follow-up are significant issues here for early adoption.
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